Prediction Markets Contracts and Federal Income Tax: Wagering, Investing, or Something Else?
Prediction-market event contracts raise unresolved federal income tax questions because they combine features of wagers and financial instruments. A typical contract may allow a participant to buy a “yes” or “no” position on whether a specified event will occur—such as the outcome of a sports contest, election, weather event or other real-world contingency. Economically, these…




